Can The Purge: Election Year move Finding Dory from the top of the box office?

It’s a long weekend in Canada and the U.S.A., which means four days of films duking it out at the box office for your dollars. Will any new release send Finding Dory swimming for second place? Here are our predictions:

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The Purge: Election Year is the third instalment of the profitable and entertaining franchise about a future world where one day a year the old ultra-violence is allowed and murder and mayhem is legal. Considering what’s going on in the world right now, this may hit a little too close to home for some, but The Purge might be one of those series unique enough to still have some life in it. Look for a second place showing with $29 million.

Also opening this weekend are Steven Spielberg’s The BFG, based on the Roald Dahl book, and The Legend of Tarzan, a new take on the famed character. Neither one of these films have the star power or the appeal to make an impact this weekend and will likely be shut down by the other films currently in release. Look for The BFG to debut in fourth place with $21 million, while The Legend of Tarzan will be right behind it with it with $19 million.

As for the rest of the top five, look for Finding Dory to continue its winning ways, as it marches towards the magic $400 million. It will hold on to the top spot with $52 million. Meanwhile, Independence Day: Resurgence will continue its lacklustre run with a third place position and $22 million.

So, to recap, here are our predictions:

1) Finding Dory – $52 million
2) The Purge: Election Year – $29 million
3) Independence Day: Resurgence – $22 million
4) The BFG – $21 million
5) The Legend of Tarzan – $19 million

Be sure to check back on Sunday for the early long weekend estimates!

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