Category Archives: box office predictions
As the Martin Luther King Jr. Long Weekend rolls on in the US, the three-day weekend numbers have started coming in, and to be honest, there are some real surprises when it comes to this week’s new releases. Here’s what went down:
Hidden Figures held on to the top spot at the box office for the second weekend in a row, bringing in an estimated $19.6 million. The reviews and accolades have certainly helped this film find a wide audience, and it should continue to do well as we head into Oscar season.
Horror film The Bye Bye Man had a surprisingly strong debut, landing in second place with an estimated $14.5 million, an especially stellar showing considering the absolutely horrible reviews the film received.
Things should get interesting this weekend, as a bevy of new releases are storming theatres. Will any of them top the box office? Here are our predictions:
The most high profile new release this weekend is Patriots Day starring Mark Wahlberg in a film about the tragic Boston Marathon terrorist attack. Wahlberg + Boston should equal a strong film and a decent showing, especially at this transitional time in the U.S.. Audiences need heroes to cheer for and Patriots Day should be able to service those needs. Look for a first place showing with $21 million.
It was a tight race at the box office this weekend, as the reigning champ had to take on a strong showing from a new release. Here’s what went down:
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story appears to be the winner of the weekend with $21.97 million, raising its total to $477 million. BUT, new release Hidden Figures came on very strong this weekend and, as of Sunday night, is currently sitting at $21.8 million. So it’s a tight race, and come Monday and the box office actuals arrive, things could wind up very different.
It’s a brand new year, and there are some brand new movies looking to get your dollars this weekend at the box office. Will any of them muster up enough force to knock down the current champ? Here’s our predictions:
Underworld: Blood Wars is the most high profile new release this weekend, the fifth entry in a franchise that’s surprisingly still going strong. Somewhat, anyway, as the previous instalments have only done ‘ok’ in terms of box office returns, though they haven’t crossed that magic $100 million mark in North America. There’s an audience for this latest film, but it may be one that decides to watch it at home rather than in theatres. Look for a third place debut for Underworld: Blood Wars with $15 million.
The three days estimates are in for this weekend at the box office, and there weren’t too many surprises. Here’s what went down:
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story held on to the top spot for a third weekend, bringing in an estimated $50 million to raise its total to $425 million, making it the second biggest film of 2016, behind only Finding Dory, another Disney film, which ended its run with $486 million. There’s a very likely chance that Rogue One will cross the $500 million mark before it ends its own run in theatres.
There are no new big releases this weekend at theatres, which is always a rarity, so it will be interesting to see how the final showdown of 2016 holdovers shapes out. Here are our predictions:
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story has been performing well, and should be able to hold on to the top spot for a third weekend. Look for it to bring in $58 million over the three-day weekend.
Sing has been a hit for Illumination, and should hold steady in second place with $40 million.
Passengers will continue to underperform, and will likely bring in $15 million to land in third place.
The James Franco/Bryan Cranston comedy Why Him? will hit fourth place with $11 million.
Finally, the floundering Assassin’s Creed will close things out in fifth place with $9 million.
So, to recap, here are our predictions:
1) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – $58 million
2) Sing – $40 million
3) Passengers – $15 million
4) Why Him? – $11 million
5) Assassin’s Creed – $9 million
Be sure to check back on Sunday to see how the weekend turns out! Happy New Years!
It was a huge holiday weekend at the box office for one holdover, while three new releases didn’t really resonate with audiences. Here’s what went down:
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story held on to the top spot over the three-day weekend, bringing in an estimated $70 million. By the end of Boxing Day, the film will be sitting well past the $300 million range after just over a week in theaters. While it won’t reach the numbers we saw with The Force Awakens, Rogue One is still on its way to $400+ million gross.
Happy Holidays, Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukkah, and everything other joyful celebration you may be having this weekend. If you’re thinking of taking in a movie, there are some new releases hoping to move you into theatres. Will any take down last week’s number one film? Here’s our prediction:
Sing is a new animated film about karaoke as done by animals. I really shouldn’t have to say much more, as this one is pretty much guaranteed to be the family film of choice over the holidays. Throw in the fact that it’s an Illumination film, and its safe to say Sing is set for a strong showing. Look for a second place debut with $51 million.
Passengers is a sci-if love story starring Chris Pratt and Jennifer Lawrence. While the trailers have been exceptionally appealing, rarely reviews have been absolutely disasterous for the film. For any success, especially in the face of another science fiction film in the market, the movie will have to rely on its star power, which should give it a decent debut but no legs. Look for Passengers to arrive in third place with $31 million. Read the rest of this entry
It was a big weekend at the box office for Star Wars fans, as the latest film in the sci-fi franchise took over cinemas. Here’s what went down:
While we wait for the weekend actual to arrive, the estimated box office returns have come in and, unsurprisingly, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story delivered outstanding results. The story of the rebels who attempt to steal the plans for the original Death Star from the Empire brought in an estimate $155 million to win the weekend. While the film’s opening weekend earnings is off from last year’s Star Wars: The Force Awakens, which had a record setting debut of $247 million, there are factors that need to be considered with that analysis. First, it had been more than ten years between the release of Star Wars: Revenge of the Sith and The Force Awakens, so there had been a lot of pent-up anticipation for a new franchise film. Secondly, Rogue One is introducing a whole new set of characters, whereas The Force Awakens promoted the return of icons like Han Solo, Princess Leia and Luke Skywalker. There was no way a standalone film would be able to reach those lofty heights, so I’m sure Disney and Lucasfilm are more than ecstatic with both the commercial and critical reaction to Rogue One.
Personally speaking, while I enjoyed Rogue One well enough, I definitely didn’t love it as much as other Star Wars fans. While the performances and special effects were all excellent, I think knowing the end result just made the film somewhat anticlimactic for me. I would also say that the score from Michael Giacchino was incredibly underwhelming. Apparently, he only had something like four weeks to complete the work and it shows. While expecting anyone’s work to reach the heights of John Williams’ classic pieces, Rogue One certainly needed something more epic and stirring than what it received. However, it is nice to see that the studio stayed true to the ideas that this is a self-contained story, while still managing to brilliantly tie it directly into A New Hope.
What a silly question, right? Of course audiences are going rogue this weekend. The only question that matters is how much money will the new Star Wars film bring in. Here’s our prediction:
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story is the first standalone film in the venerable franchise. That means this story and these characters are one and done. No sequel. No prequel. And, perhaps most importantly, no Princess Leia or Luke Skywalker – you’ll have to wait until next year for their return in Episode VIII. Even still, the trailers have made it clear that Rogue One will have an appearance by Darth Vader, as it tells the story of the rebels who steal the plans for the original Death Star. While the hunger for new Star Wars product was satiated last year with The Force Awakens, there’s no doubt that Rogue One will still find a huge audience this weekend. Look for a first place debut with $165 million.