Total Recall vs Diary Of A Wimpy Kid: Biff Bam Pop’s Box Office Predictions 08/03/2012

This weekend, a sci-fi remake and the third entry in a family friendly franchise look to topple The Dark Knight Rises from the top of the box office. Do either of them have a chance, or will the numbers recall the last few weekends?

Let’s be real – I don’t think anybody has been waiting for a Total Recall remake. The original, a classic, über violent sci-fi flick with Arnold Schwarzenegger, is still well-regarded, even if it did have very little resemblance to its source material, the novel We Can Remember It For You Wholesale by Phillip K. Dick. A remake with Colin Farrell, Kate Beckinsale, and Jessica Biel and directed by Len Wiseman was a hard sell for me…and then the trailers started hitting the web. And they look good. I think Total Recall could be a decent hit – not a blockbuster, but it could find an audience that hasn’t particularly been well served with pure science fiction this summer. What the film has going against is none of the leads can really open a film. On that note, I’m predicting a second place showing for Total Recall with $28 million.

Check out the rest of our predictions after the jump!

The other new release this weekend is Diary Of A Wimpy Kid: Dog Days, the third film in the franchise that has been doing great business since the first opened in 2010. Parents enjoy the series, as do kids, and it’s been a few weeks since Ice Age: Continental Drift was released, so families are definitely looking for something new to see. Look for a third place showing for Diary Of A Wimpy Kid: Dog Days and a gross of $24 million.

As for the rest of the top five, The Dark Knight Rises should have no trouble holding onto the top spot at the box office for a third weekend. The film will fall short of 2008’s The Dark Knight $500 plus gross, but the movie should have no problems crossing the $400 million mark. This weekend, look for a gross of $36.5 million.  Ice Age: Continental Drift will land in fourth with $7 million, while The Watch will close things out in fifth with $5 million.

So, to recap, here are our predictions:

1) The Dark Knight Rises – $36.5
2) Total Recall – $28 million
3) Diary Of A Wimpy Kid: Dog Days – $24 million
4) Ice Age: Continental Drift – $7 million
5) The Watch – $5 million

Be sure to check back on Sunday to see how the weekend turns out!

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