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Chronicle Trumps Daniel Radcliffe, But Just Barely – Biff Bam Pop’s Box Office Wrap-Up Report, Weekend of February 3rd, 2012

A very solid weekend at the box office, even if we didn’t come close with our predictions. It’s nice to see two new films have strong openings, especially at this time of year, and both with decent reviews to boot. Here’s how things turned out.

Chronicle, the found-footage/superhero film has a stellar opening, with $21 million to land in first place. That’s nearly $10 million more than predicted, and a far cry from what most observers thought the film would do. It will be interesting to see how the final numbers come out tomorrow though, since the second big release of the weekend was traveling neck and neck with it.

The Woman in Black staring Daniel Radcliffe debut in second place with $20 million, just $1 million off from Chronicle and $5 million more than predicted. The movie got solid reviews, which certainly helped bring an audience in. It also shows that Daniel Radcliffe can definitely open a film other than one with wizards and muggles. We’ll see if the crowds drop off big-time next weekend, as is the usual occurrence with horror films.

The third and final debut of the weekend, Big Miracle, hit number four, as predicted, grossing $8.5 million. It’s definitely underwhelming when compared to Chronicle and The Woman In Black, and I don’t think this one is long for theatres.

As for the rest of the top 5, The Grey dropped from first place to third this weekend, bringing in $9.5 million, while Underworld: Awakening closed things out with $5.6 million. One For The Money, which I thought would hit the top five, actually wound up in sixth with $5 million.

So, to recap, here were our predictions:

1) The Woman In Black – $15 million
2) The Grey – $14 million
3) Chronicle –  $12.5 million
4) Big Miracle – $10.5 million
5) One For The Money – $8 million

And here’s how the actuals are:

1) Chronicle – $21 million
2) The Woman In Black – $20 million
3) The Grey –  $9.5 million
4) Big Miracle – $8.5 million
5) Underworld: Awakening – $5.6 million

Next weekend sees the release of Journey 2: The Mysterious Island, Safe House, The Vow and Star Wars Episode I: The Phantom Menace in 3D. Be sure to check back on Friday to see our predictions.

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Liam Neeson, Wolf and Worthington Conquerer – Biff Bam Pop’s Box Office Wrap-up Report, Weekend of January 27th, 2012

A solid weekend for Liam Neeson, a most unlikely action hero, while two films underperformed, just not exactly how I expected. Here’s how things turned out at the box office this weekend.

The Grey, featuring Liam Neeson vs a pack of wolves, topped the box office with $20 million, exactly as predicted. It’s slightly lower than his other staring roles in action flicks (Taken and Unknown), but the results are nothing to scoff at. We’ll see if The Grey can stay strong going into next weekend.

Debuting in third place with 11.7 million is One For The Money, staring Katherine Heigl. It’s a bit of an unexpected showing, as I thought the film would make about three million less. However, the film, based on a bestseller by Janet Evanovich definitely found a bit of an audience, at least this week. I wouldn’t expect it to hold up or find an audience in the coming weeks though, so it will be interesting to see what route Heigl’s career takes after this. Is she someone that can still open a film?

The final debut this weekend comes from Man On A Ledge, staring Sam Worthington. The film seriously underperformed, barely showing up in fifth place with with an abysmal $8.3 million. The film has plenty of advertising and Worthington should be a bankeable star, but it seems as though he’s not the draw in his other films (ie Clash Of The Titans); special effects are. Look for Man On A Ledge on VOD or DVD shelves sooner than later.

As for the rest of the top five, Underworld: Awakening dropped to second place, bringing in $12.5 million, just two million less than predicted, while Red Tails landed in fourth with $10.4 million.

So, to recap, here were our predictions:

1) The Grey – $20.5 million
2) Underworld: Awakening – 14.5 million
3) Man On A Ledge – $13 million
4) Red Tails – $12.5 million
5) One For The Money – $8 million

And here’s how the weekend turned out:

1) The Grey – $20 million
2) Underworld: Awakening – 12.5 million
3) One For The Money – $11.7 million
4) Red Tails – $10.4 million
5) Man On A Ledge – $8.3 million

Next week sees the release of the Daniel Radcliffe-staring horror film The Woman In Black, and Chronicle, a new superhero flick. Check back on Friday to see how we predict those movies will debut!

Extremely Underwhelming & Incredibly Underperforming – Biff Bam Pop’s Box Office Wrap-Up Report, Weekend of January 20th, 2012

As expected, this weekend vampires and werewolves ruled the box office. What was a little less expected was that, even with what I considered a low end prediction for the team-up of Tom Hanks and Sandra Bullock, the film managed to seriously underperform. Here’s how the weekend turned out:

Underworld: Awakening, the fourth film in the franchise and the first with Kate Beckinsale since the second outing, scared up a solid opening weekend debut of $25 million (about $2 million more than predicted). Definitely a strong showing, but like most horror films, I anticipate a steep drop come week 2. Speaking of steep drops, The Devil Inside, number one two weekends ago, is already out of the top 10, though it has taken in $54 million of a $1 million production cost.

Debuting in second with $18 million is the World War II flick, Red Tails. This one definitely surprised me, but I suppose having George Lucas on board still counts for something, since I can’t remember the last time Cuba Gooding Jr stared in a film that had such a decent opening weekend. I’m curious to see how the film holds up in the coming weeks, but I don’t see it really having legs, even after a goode debut.

When it comes to disappointments, Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close has got to be concerned a huge one. I had predicted a second place showing with $17 million, and the film wasn’t even able to make that much. Instead, the 9/11 themed film with Tom Hanks and Sandra Bullock could only muster $10.5 million to land in fourth place. Now, few if any 9/11 films have done big business at the box office, but with Hanks and Bullock on board you would think it would have done better. I don’t expect any sort of shelf life for this film, unless for some reason it gets some Oscar nominations this week.

Haywire, which I hadn’t placed in the top five, managed to show up, grossing $9 million, right around what I thought it would make. This film has been getting decent reviews and could actually move up next weekend. Meanwhile, Mark Wahlberg’s Contraband dropped from first to third with $12 million. As for Beauty and the Beast in 3D, in wound up in sixth with only $8.5 million.

So, to recap, here were our predictions:

1) Underworld: Awakening – $23 million
2) Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close – $17 million
3) Red Tails – $14 million
4) Contraband – $12 million
5) Beauty and the Beast 3D – $10.5 million

And here’s how the weekend turned out:

1) Underworld: Awakening – $25 million
2) Red Tails – $18 million
3) Contraband – $12 million
4) Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close – $10.5 million
5) Haywire – $9 million

Next weekend sees the release of The Grey with Liam Neeson, and Man On A Ledge with Sam Worthington. Check back on Friday to see how we think those films will do.

Vampires With Bite, WW II Planes Take Flight, Hanks and Bullock Together – Biff Bam Pop’s Box Office Predictions, Weekend of January 20th, 2012

A fine selection of films enter theatres this weekend, all looking to nab a piece of the pie and your dollars. A tearjerker from the dream team of Tom Hanks and Sandra Bullock; the return of Kate Beckinsale in tight leather; the latest from superstar director Steven Soderbergh; or a non-Star Wars produced film from George Lucas. These are the contenders, and here are our predictions.

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