The Hobbit vs Madea – Biff Bam Pop’s Box Office Predictions

It’s a big weekend at the box office, as two new releases go head to head for your dollars. While one is the likely winner already, the other could take a bit out of the pie. Here are our predictions:

The_Hobbit_-_The_Desolation_of_Smaug_theatrical_posterThe Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug is the second in the three film trilogy from Peter Jackson. Though the first film did over $1 billion at the box office, the reviews weren’t as spectacular as expected, and the North American take home was $300 million, arguably less than expected. Reviews are slightly better for this, the middle chapter, but I’m guessing we’re going to see a slightly underwhelming debut at the box office this weekend, much like Attack of the Clones underperformed when it was released back in 2002. Look for The Hobbit to hit number one, but with $75 million.

Find out how the rest of the weekend will turn out after the jump!
A_Madea_ChristmasAlso out this weekend is Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas, which should extremely well, as all Madea film’s do when they debut. For those that don’t want to brave the line-ups for The Hobbit, this could wind up being a feasible alternative. Look for a second place showing with $30 million.


As for the rest of the top five, Frozen will fall to third place with $24 million; Catching Fire will grab fourth place with $15 million, while Thor: The Dark World will close things out in fifth with $4 million.

So, to recap, here are our predictions:

1) The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – $75 million
2) Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas – $30 million
3) Frozen – $24 million
4) Catching Fire – $15 million
5) Thor: The Dark World – $4 million

Be sure to check back on Sunday to see how the weekend turns out!

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