The Watch vs Step Up Revolution vs The Dark Knight Rises – Biff Bam Pop’s Box Office Predictions, Weekend Of July 27th 2012

This weekend The Dark Knight Rises looks to add to it’s already healthy take so far, while two new releases hope they’ll be able to make some sort of impact. Not likely. Find out how we think the weekend will turn out after jump!
The Watch is a new sci-fi comedy starring Ben Stiller, Vince Vaughn and Jonah Hill as members of a neighbourhood watch that uncovers an alien plot to take over the world. This film has a lot going against it. It’s original title was Neighbourhood Watch but was changed after the Treyvon Martin murder for fears that the name would turn audiences off. Then there’s the less meaningful truth that sci-fi comedies just haven’t been doing big business at the box office (do you know anybody who saw Paul, because I surely don’t). Even with the strong cast, I don’t think you’re going to see The Watch make any real impact. I’m predicting a second place showing with $18 million.

Step Up Revolution

Step Up Revolution is the fourth instalment in the successful dance film franchise and yet another 3D film release. Reviews have already been harsh for this one, set in Miami and staring Kathryn McCormick from So You Think You Can Dance. While men will avoid this one like the plague, look for teen girls and dance fanatics to give the film at least a third place open with $13 million.

As for the rest of the top five, The Dark Knight Rises will have absolutely no problem holding onto the top spot for a second weekend in a row. Word of mouth has been stellar, as have reviews, while the film has been solid at the box office all week, having already pulled in more than $211 million in a week. I think you’re going to see a higher than expected second week gross, based on all of the above. Look for The Dark Knight Rises to pull in an outstanding $75 million. Meanwhile, Ice Age: Continental Drift will land in fourth with $12 million while The Amazing Spider-Man will close out the top five with $10.5 million.

So, to recap, here are our predictions:

1) The Dark Knight Rises – $75 million
2) The Watch – $18 million
3) Step Up Revolution – $13 million
4) Ice Age: Continental Drift – $12 million
5) The Amazing Spider-Man – $10.5 million

Be sure to check back on Sunday to see how the weekend turns out!

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