The Memorial Day weekend three day totals are in, and when it comes to predictions, I won some and lost some, as I stepped into the shoes of the vacationing Scotty G. I nailed the order of the top 5 and managed two almost perfect number to number predictions. Here’s how things turned out.
The Hangover 2 had a stellar opening weekend, the best ever for an R-Rated comedy. I had predicted the film would bring in $70 million over three days, and I wound up off by nearly $17 million. Since it’s release this past Thursday, The Hangover 2 has brought in an amazing $118 million over four days. Look for that number to get even higher once the Monday numbers get added in.
The other debuting film was Kung Fu Panda 2, the sequel to the 2008 film staring the voiced of Jack Black, Angelina Jolie and Dustin Hoffman. As I mentioned on Friday, I felt that this film was flying under the radar, especially when measured against the hype for The Hangover 2. It turns out I was a little overly generous with my prediction of $65 million for Kung Fu Panda 2’s opening gross. The film wound up with just $48 million over the three days, with a total of $53 million since it’s Thursday opening. While it’s certainly a big number, it’s not jaw dropping and leaves me wondering as to whether the film will make back it’s $150 million budget in North America.
Last week’s number one film, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides dropped 54% this weekend to land in the third spot as predicted, bringing in $39 million (I had predicted $40 million). The film has grossed $152 million in North America since it’s release, but at it’s current performance, below that of the previous two sequels, I’m skeptical that Pirates 4 will get anywhere near $300 million. But don’t shed any tears for Johnny Depp and company – this latest installment has already brought in $505 million worldwide, so it’s about as far from a bomb as you can get.
Bridesmaids took then fourth spot in our top five, with a three day gross of $16 million (my prediction was $15 million), down only 21% from the previous weekend. The comedy has legs and has been an absolute success at the box office, with it’s total gross currently $84 million.
Thor rounds out the top with $9 million, $2 million less than what I had predicted. The film’s total gross after four weekends is a decent but not amazing $159 million. These aren’t Iron Man numbers, to be sure, but Thor has already outgrossed The Incredible Hulk both in North America and internationally, so it’s definitely an overall success.
So to recap, here are my predictions:
1) The Hangover 2 – $70 million
2) Kung Fu Panda 2 – $65 million
3) Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides – $40 million
4) Bridesmaids – $15 million
5) Thor – $11 million
And here are the weekend actuals:
1) The Hangover 2 – $87 million
2) Kung Fu Panda 2 – $48 million
3) Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides – $39 million
4) Bridesmaids – $16 million
5) Thor – $9 million
How will things shape up when Marvel’s merry band of mutants return to the big screen this Friday when X-Men: First Class hits theaters? Check out our predictions on Friday!