Will Straight Outta Compton go straight to number one?

This weekend sees the release of two radically different films, courting two radically different audiences. Which one will come out on top? Here’s our prediction:

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Straight Outta Compton is the true life story of NWA, one of the most notorious and influential bands in the history of hip-hop. In that regard, this film is to rap what a film about Led Zeppelin would be to rock. Awareness is high (has anyone seen any Straight Outta Compton memes lately?) and critics have been giving the film top marks. Considering the band’s legacy and crossover appeal, look for Straight Outta Compton to be one of the biggest bio-picks of all time. It should easily hit the number one position with $60 million.

Also new this week is The Man From U.N.C.L.E., the period piece spy flick from director Guy Ritchie and featuring Henry Cavil and Armie Hammer. Reviews have been so-so, and I think it’s safe to say that none of the names attached are necessarily huge draws. Ritchie’s Sherlock Holmes movies have really succeeded because of Robert Downey Jr.’s breakthrough stardom, while Cavil was good as Superman, but wasn’t the reason people went to the film. As for Hammer…the less said about The Lone Ranger, right? Look for a second place debut with $18 million.

As for the rest of the top five, Mission: Impossible Rogue Nation will be in third place with $17.5 million. The Gift should hit fourth with $8 million, while Vacation will close thing out in fifth with $6.5 million.

So, to recap, here are our predictions:

1) Straight Outta Compton – $60 million
2) The Man From U.N.C.L.E – $18 million
3) Mission: Impossible Rogue Nation – $17.5 million
4) The Gift – $4 million
5) Vacation – $7 million 

Be sure to check back on Sunday to see how the weekend turns out!

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