After three weeks on top, this weekend will see The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 move down at least one spot with the release of a brand new ensemble film from Garry Marshall. In the meantime, Jonah Hill tries to headline a film on his own – I’m pretty sure he’ll fail. Here’s how the weekend will play out.
A thematic sequel to 2010 Valentine’s Day, New Year’s Day is an ensemble romantic comedy staring a fantastic cast, including Michelle Pfeiffer, Robert DeNiro, Halle Berry, Ashton Kutcher and many, many more. Director Garry Marshall is a pro at these sorts of films at the timing is clearly perfect. While it may not reach the $56 million Valentine’s Day debut with, look for New Year’s Eve to debut strong with $32 million and stay steady through the holidays.
Also debuting his weekend is The Sitter, staring Jonah Hill in his first headlining roll. This film has been flying under the radar. An R-rated comedy about a babysitter who takes his charges through New York City, I’m guessing The Sitter really isn’t going to make any sort of major impact at the box office this weekend. Hill just doesn’t have enough star power to draw in a wide audience and, really, R-rated comedies are played out for 2011. I’m predicting The Sitter opens at number 3 with $10 million.
As for the rest of the weekend, look for Breaking Dawn Part 1 drop one spot to number two with $14 million. The Muppets will fall to number four with $8 million, while Hugo will close out the top five with $7 million.
So, to recap, here are our predictions:
1) New Year’s Eve – $32 million
2) The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 – $14 million
3) The Sitter – $10 million
4) The Muppets – $8 million
5) Hugo – $7 million
Be sure to check back on Sunday to see how the weekend turns out!