Scotty G’s Weekend Box Office Predictions

Three major films open this weekend, and all three expect to do well. In fact, they could be the 1, 2, and 3 films at the box office this weekend. Two veterans take on an up and comer. It’s like a triple threat wrestling match. Then again, maybe not.

Crank: High Voltage hits theatres, and is hoping to be the big hit at the box office this weekend. Jason Statham returns as Chev Chelios and this time he has to keep his new heart charged by electrocuting himself repeatedly. The original Crank had an opening weekend of over $10 million, and finished its run with $27.8 million. Jason Statham’s best opening weekend movie was Collateral [which he wasn’t the lead], at $24 million. The Crank has a devoted following, and it really found an audience on DVD. I believe this one will give Statham his biggest opening of his career, and gross $25 million. It’s a liberal prediction, but I hope to be surprised.

Zac Efron headlines 17 Again, hoping to steal away the audience from Hannah Montana: The Movie. Efron has a following from his High School Musical films, and did a decent job in Hairspray. Now, he’s testing the waters as a lead actor. It will be interesting how this film does, because it has been getting decent reviews, but did the studio make the wrong decision in releasing it so close to Hannah Montana? We’ll find out. I would have made this my #1 pick, but I think it will finish at #2 with $22 million.

Russell Crowe returns to the screen with State of Play. Based on the BBC Mini-Series, the film centres on a journalist trying to find why one of a congressman’s aides was murdered. It has a stellar cast in Crowe, Rachel McAdams, Jeff Daniels, Ben Affleck and Helen Mirren. Reviews have been glowing [as of this moment, State of Play has the highest rating on Rotten Tomatoes with 80%]. My fear is that this might play like Duplicity, which had big stars, was geared towards adults, but didn’t find an audience. Duplicity opened with $13.9 million. I’m hoping State of Play does better and opens with $18 million.

Monster vs. Aliens is holding up well, and I’m predicting a 35% drop for a total of $15.2 million. Fast and Furious is looking at another 50% drop, and should gross $13.5 million. I’m expecting a big drop for Hannah Montana: The Movie, which I’m predicting will fall 65%, and gross $12.8 million.

We’ll see how a do on Sunday, but here are my predictions one more time:

1) Crank: High Voltage – $25 million
2) 17 Again – $22 million
3) State of Play – $18 million
4) Monsters vs. Aliens – $15.2 million
5) Fast and Furious – $13.5 million

Leave a Reply