Magic and mystery vs. dusty gun slinging! Action and evil vs. low-brow humour! Genre vs. genre!
A beauty vs. the guy that brought us Ted!
This weekend looks to be an interesting one at the box office as cinemagoers look to choose between two very different – and some might say very difficult – sells. Follow me after the jump and I’ll tell you all about it!
There are two elements that make a movie difficult for people to spend money on. Well, there are probably more than that, but it’s not like prognosticating box-office revenue is a science. It’s more of a game of darts. Writing this column, standing in for its regular columnist, Biff Bam Pop’s Editor-in-Chief Andy Burns (who, incidentally, is currently researching this practice in La-La Land), I just try to take a few steps closer to the board before throwing.
Anyway, two things that make it difficult for people to spend money on at the theatre: have a movie star a villain, and have a movie take place in the old west.
That’s what we’ve got before us this weekend.
That said, I think Maleficent, with its embedded Disney fan base, will see a large opening. It won’t be Oz territory and it won’t be anywhere near the summer’s heavyweight films, but it should still rack in a tidy sum. I’m thinking that sum will be in the range of $58 million.
Generally speaking, westerns tend to be box-office poison. Mix that with comedy, with a helping spoonful of potential vanity and you’re going to get low box office revenue. That’s science.
Hey, I love westerns. And I love comedy. But I also remember Shanghai Knights and Wild Wild West. I will not part with this $15! Besides, A Million Ways to Die in the West still needs to contend with a brilliant X-Men: Days of Future Past – a film for which word of mouth is still very, very strong. I think it’ll slip to third place with a disappointing $24 million.
So then, here are my predictions for this weekend:
1) Maleficent – $58 million
2) X-Men: Days of Future Past – $38 million
3) A Million Ways to Die in the West – $24 million
4) Godzilla – $11 million
5) Neighbors – $3.5 million
Be sure to check back on Sunday where we’ll discover how magnificent (or how maleficent) my predictive darts have been!
