I correctly guessed the Top 5 films in order, but I wouldn’t say it was a successful weekend as I was off by a fair bit in my top 3 picks.
Bruno opened at #1 with $30.4 million [I predicted $41 million]. There are many positives about this. First, it had the highest per theatre average with $11,040. Second, it was the number one movie despite playing in the least amount of theatres out of the top 5 films [only 2,756]. The critics like this film, but do not love it as much as Borat, so we’ll see how word of mouth plays over the coming weeks. I personally thought it would do much better, just because of how heavily marketed the film was.
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs is the #2 movie for the second weekend in a row with a gross of $28.5 million [I predicted $19.6 million]. It held up much better than I had anticipated, dropping only 31.6% from its opening weekend. There might be some life in this franchise overall. Its total gross now stands at $120.5 million.
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen fell from the top spot to #3 this weekend with a gross of $24.2 million [I predicted a gross of $16 million]. This is the event film of the summer, there is no disputing that anymore. It may not be the best film in theatres, but it is a big, loud, romping blockbuster of a film, and that is what audiences want. It was only down 42.8% from last weekend, and its total gross stands at $339.2 million.
Public Enemies dropped one spot from last weekend. It ended up in the #4 spot grossing $14.1 million [I predicted $14.6 million]. It suffered the largest drop percentage wise of any film in the top 5, by being down 44.2%, and its per theatre average was only $4,230. This tells me that that long term prospects are not good, and I don’t think it will break $100 million. I will say that the film is worth checking out to see Marion Cotillard’s performance. I am predicting a Best Supporting Actress nomination for this film. Public Enemies total gross is $66.5 million.
Rounding out the top 5 is The Proposal with a gross of $10.5 million [I predicted a gross of $8.32 million]. The Ryan Reynolds/Sandra Bullock romantic comedy continues to play well with its target audience, as it had the second best hold of any film in the top 10 by being down only 18.3% from the previous weekend [The Hangover which landed in #6 with $9.9 million was off only 11.9% from last weekend]. Its amazing that The Proposal is holding up that well, and its total gross stands at $113.7 million.
I Love You Beth Cooper opened outside the top 5, as predicted, with a gross $5 million. It will be available on DVD shelves soon.
So to recap, here were my predictions:
1) Bruno – $41 million
2) Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs – $19.6 million
3) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $16 million
4) Public Enemies – $14.6 million
5) The Proposal – $8.32 million
And here are the actual numbers:
1) Bruno – $30.4 million
2) Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs – $28.5 million
3) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $24.2 million
4) Public Enemies – $14.1 million
5) The Proposal – $10.5 million
This week brings us the arrival of Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince. Check back later this week to find out my predictions on that film.