The Proposal looks to have a small decline in its second weekend of release, and to be honest I think the decline will be more moderate than small. The reviews have not been great, but the one thing it has going for it is that it is really the only major date flick movie out right now. It will lose some of its audience because of Transformers: RATF, so I’m predicting a 45% drop for a gross of $18.4 million.
The Hangover continues to have strong holds every weekend, and I think it might lose a bit more than normal because of Transformers: RATF, but it will still be very strong. Dropping 32%, The Hangover should gross $18.1 million.
Up has also posted tremendous holds each weekend, and I think it will perform much like The Hangover this weekend. Dropping 35%, Up should gross $15.2 million
There is another new release opening this weekend, and it is female counter-programming to the Transformers. My Sister’s Keeper is a heavy drama starring Cameron Diaz and Abigail Breslin. The commercials make you know that the females will need to bring Kleenex, as they are probably going to shed some tears. Reviews have not been that good for the film, as Rotten Tomatoes has it listed at 41% positive, and reviews make a difference for dramas. Opening in 2,606 theatres, I’m predicting My Sister’s Keeper opens with $12 million.
So to recap, here are my predictions:
1) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $115 million
2) The Proposal – $18.4 million
3) The Hangover – $18.1 million
4) Up – $15.2 million
5) My Sister’s Keeper – $12 million
Check back on Sunday to see how I did!